What is very surprising in the past few days in blogs, comments and places like the Post is the number of times I have seen the words "civil war" or variations on it. I've seen it several times on right wing/conservative leaning blogs (where I am not surprised) but to see such things on the Post website is interesting.
For example, here is a comment from the post by a fellow named JLeopold1:
How much longer will we the members of the working/taxpaying Middle Class continue to suffer the excesses of the Washington elitist intelligentsia that continues to position the interests of foreigners, foreign nations and multinationals above our own?
When will we awaken to the fact that neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party affluent representatives are in fact defending or preserving our interests?
When will we recognize that this arrogant intelligentsia, looks upon our needs and expectations with disdain and us as simple pawns in their self-serving power games?
We, the Middle Class members of this society are becoming a class of taxpayers without representation as the members of these two identical parties are ignoring and mocking our Voices as exemplified by this corrupt amnesty sham disguised as a humanitarian priority solely designed to benefit non-law abiding foreign intruders in our shore and their exploiters.
If our politicians do believe that laws are to be obeyed to the letter, it is high time that we the legal citizens of this country rebel accordingly by refusing to pay into the national coffers used by these politicians in ways that are detrimental to our Middle Class interests.
Our founders advised us that when those elected to represent us fail to do so that we have an moral and civil obligation to stand up and rebel.
It is time for all of us in the Middle Class to unite and create political parties and representation that are focused on our economic needs and expectations and not those of foreigners, countries and multinational corporations or the socio-political absurdities of the arrogant intelligentsia that hypocritically claims to represent us.
Since both parties are scorning us, the time has come for a new political paradigm!
Emphasis is mine.
On the furthest end of my conservative/Libertarian leanings, I agree with him. Please note, I am not advocating open rebellion or insurrection against the Government! What I am saying is the Founders did state it was our option of last resort, as it was for them, if all other avenues of grievance and redress have failed the common man. We are not there yet.
But the fact words like "rebel" and "civil war" are being mentioned should send a shiver of fear down the back of any politician. The reason is because the ones who are saying it are generally the ones who have the immediate means to carry it out and would feel they have nothing left to lose after being betrayed by their Government.
I will not discuss this line of thought further other than to have you ponder the question of at what point do you think the American citizenry would decide than our system has failed us and uprising in any form would occur? It could be a mob of millions marching in sustained protest on the National Mall and refusing to disperse or armed assault by a dedicated group of individuals firing the first shots of a second Revolutionary War or anything imaginable in between.
For some folks, passage of this immigration bill and the attendant shocks to society that would follow in the next decade or so would be the spark that ultimately sets it off. I can certainly see why if our elected Representatives choose to ignore the will of the majority of their constituents who they elected to represent their interests and rather sell them out wholesale to criminals.
But what I want to talk about is a meme that is travelling about with regards to illegal immigration. It is not mine nor is it new. It is the idea that the problem of illegal immigration is so bad that we cannot solve it except to grant some kind of legal status and promise to do better next time. The meme says we can't deport 12-20 million illegals, we can't seal the border effectively, we don't have the means to enforce our laws so capitulation to criminals is our only option.
You can probably guess based on my past posts what I think of that meme.
I find this meme disgusting and here's why: You're telling me that a nation without our high technology 65 years ago had the ability to build 7100 ton cargo ships from nothing to loaded with cargo and ready to sail at the average rate of one every two days month in, month out for four years but can't find the means to round up 12 million people and truck them back to the border?!?
I can tell you we don't lack the means. What our government lacks is the will.
I agree that trying to tackle all of the issues present with illegal immigration are daunting, frightening and require hard choices and painful decisions for everyone involved. As a result, if none take place, we are no better off than we are now and the problem will only continue to get worse.
Anyone who is looking at the issue all agree on one thing in order for us to start dealing with the problem: We must get control of the border. From there, all other problems can be dealt with one at a time. We need to dam the source of the foul water that is threatening to drown us before we can start to pump it out and clean things up.
Frankly, even the most staunch anti-illegal immigration folks of the "deport them all" mindset are willing to concede the idea that we might be willing to grant our current crop of illegals some kind of legal status on the condition that the Government actually do something concrete about the borders. Not words, not promises, not a foot-high tarp wall but actual, tangible, effective security. They want action. Until then, expect resistance because until something is done about the border, all they see is a Government willing to reward law-breaking behavior with nothing to stop more in the future and makes a mockery of the "rule of law" that is supposed to exist in this country.
I am one of these people. I am willing to consider a compromise for the illegals already here, as much as it pains me, on two conditions. The first is that we stop the flow of illegals short-term and keep it up long-term. The second is the illegals already here will be given a visa not unlike an H1B and watched like hawks. If they fail in the terms of the visa, they will be rapidly deported. For those of you who don't know, living here on an H1B is indentured servitude. It is very strict, requires an employer to back the person (who also promises to pay the costs of getting them out of here if they screw up) and places severe restrictions on the immigrant's mobility and job options. It is fundamentally a modern form of paid slavery. I spent six years on an H1B so I know what I'm talking about.
If employers want the illegals to work for them at low wages so badly, they can skim off some of their profits and put guarantees to the INS about the conduct of such folks. More importantly, the restrictive nature of such a visa will force the INS to keep very close tabs on such illegals under its guise. Screw up, not submit to the requrements and they're gone. I have no problem with my tax dollars funding such a program of vetting and enforcement for that type of visa.
I doubt there would be many takers in the illegal community on such a program. It would be so restrictive to actually make them think life back home will be better. I can think of all kinds of ways such a low-skilled H1B-type program could be streamlined and run effectively to make sure the illegals understood that there is a cost attached to their "reward" and paying it for several years won't be fun.
That is something to think about. I don't expect such an idea to get a lot of traction. It is random thinking off the cuff on my part.
The thing I do want to address for the last musing here is border security. It is the crossroads that any other program, amnesty, status, deportation or enforcement will depart from.
Put simply: The southern border must be closed. To do this will require money (not much compared to the two trillion dollars this amnesty bill will cost) but it will requires lots of will.
Strangely, my solution doesn't involve multi-year fence and wall construction, high tech security cameras and drones and programs that spread over several Presidential elections and the fickle winds of political change. A year or two worth of will is all it will need. My prediction is if the President and/or Congress did what I am about to propose, I predict the majority party supporting it will win the White House in 2008 hands-down.
The Plan
For background, the US-Mexico border is 3,141 kilometers long (forgive me, metric makes this easier). That 1,951 miles for us here in the USA. This is what we need to seal. The terrain the border goes through is mostly scrub desert and mountainous regions.
All we need to seal the border is to actually carry through on the promised deployment of National Guard troops.
First, for legal purposes, the Posse Comitatus Act prohibits the use of the armed forces (which include the Guard since they are Federal troops) from acting in a law enforcement capacity except when authorized to do so by Congress or as deemed necessary under the Constitution by the President. In other words, if Congress says it is ok for the Guard to enforce the law for a limited amount of time or under specific circumstances and timelines, it is legal under Posse Comitatus. Alternately, the President may make the decision unilaterally in the face of national security concerns (which this would qualify as) as long as such usage does not violate the Constitution. Posse Comitatus does not prevent the use of armed forces in a law enforcement capacity but merely formalizes the mechanism by which they can.
So, if Congress or the President say it is ok to deploy the Guard to the border to enforce Federal immigration law, it is legal. Politically, it is much better for Congress to do so since they represent the will of the People. But since President Bush has nothing to lose and as long as he drafted the Executive Order correctly, he could accomplish the same thing.
For discussion sake, let us assume Congress or the President has said "Yes, use the Guard".
In my mind, to seal the border effectively requires overwhelming presence. To do this, I propose we deploy four man teams, each equipped with a Humvee, two video cameras (one dash-mounted, the other handheld), a radio and optics on 1000 meter intervals.
The reason for the 1000 meter interval is simple coverage. Unless you are in extremely dense terrain, with binoculars or other such optic seeing 1000 meters across open country is easy. With 1000 meter spacing, that effectively places three teams covering a 2 kilometer section of the border with each team providing overlapping coverage to its neighbors. Any two teams are covering 1 kilometer fully. That is eight pairs of eyes looking over that terrain.
If illegals cross the border in the day with this type of spacing and regular scanning, they better be damn good at hiding because any movement is going to be rapidly picked off. Since daytime in the desert is very hot and the illegals tend to lay low, they are going to travel at night when it is cooler and under the cover of darkness.
Each team will be equipped with a set of good infrared night vision or thermal optics. Since the desert can reach near-freezing temperatures at night, spotting a hot human form against such a cold backdrop at that short range by a team in place will be very straightforward. Certainly not perfect but at that level of troop density, not a lot of illegals are going to get through, day or night.
To do this properly will require 24 hour coverage. Obviously, we can't place four man teams on 24 hour duty. Like any job, 8 hours is acceptable. Each team would stand two 4 hour watches and these would rotate so each team was doing a equal number of night, midday and evening watches. Furthermore, the relieving of a team will be done on a shifting schedule to ensure that there is not a predictable pattern to when new teams take over from existing ones.
This also addresses an issue that plagues the Border Patrol today: they follow predictable schedules and leave the border uncovered at known, fixed times (which the coyotes exploit by making daytime runs). By using the Guard and following military protocol, a team could not leave their post until properly relieved by an incoming team. This means there will be no gaps in coverage during a switchover and for a time will provide reinforcements at areas being relieved.
In addition to the border watch, one 4 hour watch will be a standby watch with teams further back ready to assist on a moment's notice. Think of them as "alert" troops. On a given day, a trooper will serve 8 hours on border watch, 4 hours on "alert" duty and the remaining 12 hours is for relaxation, sleeping, eating, other duty tasks and maintenance of gear.
If the teams detect the presence of illegals, they will co-ordinate with their neighbor teams and move in to intercept the invaders. Their job is to stop and detain. If the illegals flee, they are authorized to pursue up to the limits of the Mexican border (if they head back south) or north without limit while calling in reinforcements to assist. That is where the "alert" teams come into play.
While the border team is pursuing the illegals, the "alert" teams are moving in to assist and intercept. The purpose of the alert teams is to ensure that no more than a single border team is removed from their post while in pursuit. That allows the two remaining teams to continue to provide adequate coverage while there is a gap. In the end, the purpose of the two groups is to provide a "defense in depth". I'm not a military deployment planner and I am sure this can be improved upon but that is the basic concept.
If all goes well, the illegals are intercepted and the team who gets them detains them. They will, of course, know enough Spanish to issue orders and I think the presence of anywhere from 4-12 soldiers, all visibly armed and evil looking, will have a sufficient cowing effect on our captured criminals. Should an illegal try to run, the troops are permitted to fire warning shots over their heads while working to run them down and call in even more help. The assumption is, once intercepted, the illegals will give up while scary armed men round them up and put them in zip cuffs.
Once secured, the Guard troops will call the Border Patrol using their radios. The Border Patrol will provide units to serve alongside the Guard specifically for this purpose. Once the Patrol arrives, the Guard will turn over the illegals. The Border Patrol will then take them to a Guard managed holding area (an illegal refugee camp).
The illegals will be photographed, questioned, any documents on them checked, seized or examined. Their personal IDs (if any) and personal property will be returned to them. Once they are processed into the camp, which will be behind razor wire and guarded by men with guns and dogs, they will be held until there are enough of them to fill a truck or bus. They will then be loaded into the bus and driven under guard in the company of a Border Patrol agent where there will be taken to the border and released back into Mexico. At worst, a group of illegals should be held in their "camp" for no more than a couple days.
The Guardsmen will only be authorized to use lethal force if they are fired upon first. If that happens, they are allowed to return fire and to treat the situation as an attack by enemy forces. Since I expect such an attack to be the work of drug dealers, more than sufficient evidence will be available in the aftermath in the form of dead dealers, weapons and drugs to quell any outcry.
That is also where the video cameras come into play. The dashcam should capture the results of any pursuit in the Humvee and the handheld camera (handled by one member of the team) will provide evidence for the proper detainment of the illegals and handover to the Border Patrol. That will help to cut down on questions about the use of force and provide some oversight because of the use of armed soldiers (which makes some people nervous).
In the event the team is fired upon, the cameras will be able to provide evidence of such and also serve to keep the troops themselves in line. Should those shooting at the troops turn out to be Mexican soldiers on a probing mission, the footage from video cameras will prove especially useful in the diplomatic row that will follow.
In addition to the troops and their equipment, several other items will be used to help increase the border security. We need boots on the ground to intercept illegals and detain them. We can also use additional technology to help us.
A few drones equipped with infrared and visible light cameras can be used as additional surveillance aids. They can be unarmed Air Force Predators or Border Patrol drones, it doesn't matter. These will be used if desired to help identify and co-ordinate ground intercepts of illegals. These will always be used in addition to the troops. The drones are not intended to replace troops on the ground but to act as a force multiplier.
Finally, the first line of alert and defense for the border will be mines.
Before you go crazy, I'm not talking about regular land mines (no matter how tempting it might be). We aren't some nutjob African dictatorial republic, after all. This is my special contribution to border security.
The mine will be a trip mine. It can be pressure activited, by tripwire or activated by remote sensor. It will consist of a tube that will launch a standard flashbang grenade a few feet away (away from the person stepping on it, for example). Essentially, a capped aluminum tube set at an angle buried underground that will kick the grenade out and away. With proper timing, the flashbang should land 4-5 feet away and go off just before or as it hits the ground.
For those of you who don't know, flashbangs are concussion devices. They emit a powerful flash of light (enough to temporarily blind someone in dark or interior conditions) and a powerful shock that deafens and stuns and can knock down those within its effective radius. They are non-lethal. They are used today as entry devices for SWAT teams in making high risk entries and by the military in urban warfare when they don't want to kill folks inside a room they are breaching.
The net effect of a flashbang is to temporarily incapacitate anyone within about 30 feet in open air. It shocks, blinds and stuns. Anyone nearby when it goes off will rolling on the ground moaning or be rendered unconcious. At worst, a person close to the grenade will suffer ruptured eardrums (less likely in an outdoor scenario versus a closed room where 'bangs tend to be used).
These beasties are loud. Liberally sprinkle these mines just inside the border. When a group of illegals sets one or more off, the noise and perhaps the flash (especially at night), will carry easily to the nearby troops who can then move in and safely detain those illegals caught unaware. The mines will serve as an ideal first-line of detection, early warning of trouble and slowing of illegal progress into the country. As a bonus, the simple mine can be easily reloaded and reburied with a new flashbang in minutes. As one continuous minefield from Texas to California, these mines will serve as a deterrent to illegal crossing. At a minimum, it will slow the illegals down (especially if their coyote is trying to use a metal detector to find the mines one step at a time).
And for that special psyops touch, have folks spread rumors in the border towns once the potential illegals become aware of these mines (as they will) that there are real land mines mixed in among them and that entire groups have been killed or disappeared as a result of this. With a little bit of homegrown fear-mongering, the illegals themselves will believe it especially given all of the other military factors at work as well as their own cultural biases. The best illegal immigrant is one who never actually tries to cross the border and decides becoming illegal isn't worth dying for. The effect of such operations will never be truly measurable but you can't tell me some folks won't believe it. Plus, there are ways which I won't mention here to make it believable with a little bit of propaganda (which I am not above using).
Since this has become a massive post, I will save Part 2 for tomorrow which will cover the logistics of this plan and how to make it happen. It will give you some weekend reading and thinking since I will be away.
More to come. Stay tuned.
